Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1814.718218 1978.949877 2145.978710 2328.281213 2521.364925 2719.494891 2937.884997
2025-03-09 1569.769648 1815.018356 2074.500964 2368.355689 2690.744885 3032.558822 3421.234629
2025-03-16 1378.473579 1666.592489 1980.624004 2345.985723 2757.027449 3202.887086 3720.753245
2025-03-23 1279.407643 1604.490604 1967.444402 2398.877450 2893.852772 3440.218043 4085.069155
2025-03-30 1177.365212 1527.650471 1927.507151 2412.116713 2977.886036 3612.051183 4371.000496
2025-04-06 1085.351293 1454.165731 1883.972988 2414.247578 3043.189185 3757.903631 4623.828714
2025-04-13 966.152927 1339.233301 1783.557618 2341.934140 3014.962016 3790.421167 4741.525917
2025-04-20 935.189064 1330.021092 1807.956992 2416.795425 3159.319602 4023.431159 5092.599913
2025-04-27 890.687637 1300.295674 1804.334160 2455.207624 3258.274918 4202.031763 5379.751760
2025-05-04 832.050791 1248.598814 1770.053021 2452.923103 3305.529052 4317.478922 5591.174811
2025-05-11 772.357673 1191.871813 1726.197354 2435.749679 3332.082537 4406.267087 5769.577058
2025-05-18 732.578726 1159.289923 1711.240470 2453.278367 3400.274686 4544.733514 6007.670587
2025-05-25 683.893528 1112.765486 1676.987181 2445.717397 3437.605193 4647.079769 6204.894739
2025-06-01 656.082415 1093.709446 1677.947991 2483.095084 3531.683752 4819.953928 6489.819707
2025-06-08 608.154736 1043.392968 1634.552255 2460.142509 3546.961131 4893.756286 6652.140312
2025-06-15 591.592429 1037.173031 1650.224715 2514.842236 3662.025639 5092.569893 6970.090452
2025-06-22 562.139444 1010.335219 1636.113589 2528.534735 3723.102415 5223.189359 7203.439652
2025-06-29 530.952450 979.149384 1614.449405 2530.738402 3768.221938 5333.133761 7410.950602
2025-07-06 477.768263 911.445124 1538.405974 2455.943225 3709.299502 5308.454483 7447.308056
2025-07-13 474.213829 920.573324 1572.397688 2533.373293 3853.580275 5545.518379 7816.683611
2025-07-20 459.792417 911.669530 1579.618653 2573.094591 3947.263153 5717.646184 8104.311494
2025-07-27 434.299587 883.612107 1557.605447 2570.732379 3983.473632 5814.927789 8296.428312
2025-08-03 406.222399 849.756470 1525.614137 2552.974261 3997.788514 5883.040177 8450.872767